Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.000794 0.000906 0.001024 0.001158 0.001306 0.001463 0.001642
2025-02-09 0.000606 0.000758 0.000931 0.001139 0.001382 0.001655 0.001984
2025-02-16 0.000501 0.000668 0.000866 0.001115 0.001418 0.001769 0.002204
2025-02-23 0.000437 0.000617 0.000839 0.001128 0.001490 0.001923 0.002473
2025-03-02 0.000386 0.000574 0.000814 0.001137 0.001551 0.002059 0.002718
2025-03-09 0.000329 0.000515 0.000762 0.001104 0.001557 0.002123 0.002873
2025-03-16 0.000281 0.000463 0.000714 0.001072 0.001556 0.002176 0.003012
2025-03-23 0.000250 0.000433 0.000691 0.001070 0.001593 0.002275 0.003210
2025-03-30 0.000225 0.000406 0.000671 0.001069 0.001631 0.002375 0.003409
2025-04-06 0.000200 0.000378 0.000646 0.001059 0.001653 0.002453 0.003580
2025-04-13 0.000175 0.000348 0.000616 0.001039 0.001660 0.002509 0.003722
2025-04-20 0.000164 0.000338 0.000616 0.001062 0.001727 0.002648 0.003977
2025-04-27 0.000152 0.000326 0.000612 0.001080 0.001789 0.002782 0.004233
2025-05-04 0.000134 0.000302 0.000586 0.001062 0.001797 0.002842 0.004386
2025-05-11 0.000117 0.000278 0.000558 0.001040 0.001796 0.002887 0.004518
2025-05-18 0.000108 0.000268 0.000553 0.001052 0.001848 0.003008 0.004759
2025-05-25 0.000099 0.000257 0.000545 0.001059 0.001892 0.003119 0.004986
2025-06-01 0.000086 0.000234 0.000516 0.001029 0.001875 0.003139 0.005084
2025-06-08 0.000074 0.000213 0.000487 0.000998 0.001855 0.003154 0.005173
2025-06-15 0.000067 0.000202 0.000476 0.000996 0.001881 0.003237 0.005363
2025-06-22 0.000061 0.000192 0.000466 0.000996 0.001910 0.003323 0.005558
2025-06-29 0.000054 0.000181 0.000451 0.000986 0.001922 0.003385 0.005718
2025-07-06 0.000047 0.000167 0.000432 0.000967 0.001918 0.003421 0.005839